...
Scheduled
Blue Jays
Toronto
56%
Slight Lean
vs
Pirates
Pittsburgh
44%
TOR vs PITbreakdown →
MLBAmerican League • AL East
Toronto Blue Jays
American League Conference • AL East Division
Record
3-1
Division
AL East
Conference
American League
Upcoming
4 games
Next Game Prediction
vs Pittsburgh Pirates • Sat, May 23 7:07 PM
56%
win probability
Model accuracy on Toronto Blue Jays: 56% (66 games)
Team Analytics
Elo Rating History
Toronto Blue Jays - 2026 Season
154015151490
Current Elo
1536
Season Change
+42
Season High
1536
Season Low
1494
Avg Change
-0.0
Games
5
Model vs. Market History
Toronto Blue Jays - 2026 Season
Avg Edge
0%
Model Edge Record
0-8
Model Edge Win %
0%
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Model | Market | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 26 | Marlins | H | 55% | 50% | +5%★ | Scheduled |
| May 25 | Marlins | H | 56% | 50% | +6%★ | Scheduled |
| May 24 | Pirates | H | 56% | 50% | +6%★ | Scheduled |
| May 23 | Pirates | H | 56% | 50% | +6%★ | Scheduled |
| May 22 | Pirates | H | 56% | 50% | +6%★ | Scheduled |
| May 21 | Yankees | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| May 20 | Yankees | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| May 19 | Yankees | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| May 18 | Yankees | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| May 17 | Tigers | A | 47% | 50% | -3% | Scheduled |
| May 16 | Tigers | A | 47% | 50% | -3% | Scheduled |
| May 15 | Tigers | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| May 13 | Rays | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| May 12 | Rays | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| May 11 | Rays | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| May 10 | Angels | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| May 9 | Angels | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| May 8 | Angels | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| May 6 | Rays | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| May 5 | Rays | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| May 4 | Rays | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| May 3 | Twins | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| May 2 | Twins | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| May 2 | Twins | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 30 | Twins | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 29 | Red Sox | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 28 | Red Sox | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 27 | Red Sox | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 26 | Guardians | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 25 | Guardians | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 24 | Guardians | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 22 | Angels | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 22 | Angels | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 21 | Angels | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 19 | Diamondbacks | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 19 | Diamondbacks | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 18 | Diamondbacks | A | 43% | 50% | -7% | Scheduled |
| Apr 16 | Brewers | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 15 | Brewers | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 14 | Brewers | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 12 | Twins | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 11 | Twins | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 10 | Twins | H | 57% | 50% | +7%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 8 | Dodgers | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 7 | Dodgers | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 6 | Dodgers | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 5 | Chicago White Sox | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 4 | Chicago White Sox | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 3 | Chicago White Sox | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 2 | Chicago White Sox | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 1 | Rockies | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 31 | Rockies | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 30 | Rockies | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 29 | Oakland Athletics | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 28 | Oakland Athletics | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 27 | Oakland Athletics | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 22 | Rays | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 21 | Pirates | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 20 | Twins | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 20 | Twins | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 19 | Yankees | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 18 | Orioles | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 16 | Marlins | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 16 | Marlins | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 15 | Mets | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 14 | Tigers | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 10 | Braves | H | 56% | 50% | +6%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 8 | Tigers | H | 56% | 50% | +6%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 8 | Orioles | A | 44% | 50% | -6% | Scheduled |
| Mar 8 | Orioles | A | 44% | 50% | -6% | Scheduled |
| Feb 28 | Mets | A | 44% | 50% | -6% | Scheduled |
Model divergence: our model gives this team >5% more probability than the market implies
Upcoming Games
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Recent Games
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Frequently Asked Questions
The Toronto Blue Jays play in the American League conference, AL East division.
The Blue Jays play their home games in Toronto.
We analyze Blue Jays games using multiple factors including weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, injury reports, and historical performance to calculate win probabilities.
How We Analyze MLB Games
Learn about the factors behind our predictions