...
Scheduled
Chicago White Sox
Chicago
46%
vs
Guardians
Cleveland
54%
CWS vs CLEbreakdown →
MLBAmerican League • AL Central
Cleveland Guardians
American League Conference • AL Central Division
Record
76-69
Division
AL Central
Conference
American League
Upcoming
3 games
Next Game Prediction
at Chicago Chicago White Sox • Wed, Oct 7 8:00 PM
54%
win probability
Model accuracy on Cleveland Guardians: 61% (140 games)
Team Analytics
Elo Rating History
Cleveland Guardians - 2026 Season
155015001450
Current Elo
1500
Season Change
+0
Season High
1500
Season Low
1500
Avg Change
-2.6
Games
1
Model vs. Market History
Cleveland Guardians - 2026 Season
Avg Edge
+7%
Model Edge Record
5-6
Model Edge Win %
45%
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Model | Market | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | Chicago White Sox | H | 50% | - | - | Scheduled |
| Oct 8 | Chicago White Sox | A | 39% | - | - | Scheduled |
| Oct 7 | Chicago White Sox | A | 54% | 48% | +6%★ | Scheduled |
| Oct 5 | Chicago White Sox | H | 64% | 58% | +6%★ | LOSS✗ |
| Oct 3 | Chicago White Sox | H | 64% | 60% | +5% | LOSS✗ |
| Sep 27 | Royals | A | 75% | 50% | +26%★ | LOSS✗ |
| Sep 26 | Royals | A | 74% | 24% | +50%★ | WIN✓ |
| Sep 25 | Royals | A | 73% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Sep 24 | Red Sox | A | 50% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Sep 23 | Red Sox | A | 44% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Aug 7 | Chicago White Sox | A | 44% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Aug 6 | Mets | H | 60% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Aug 5 | Mets | H | 60% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Aug 4 | Mets | H | 60% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Aug 2 | Diamondbacks | H | 56% | 98% | -42% | WIN✓ |
| Aug 1 | Diamondbacks | H | 56% | 57% | -1% | LOSS✗ |
| Jul 31 | Diamondbacks | H | 56% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jul 29 | Reds | A | 46% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jul 28 | Reds | A | 46% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jul 28 | Reds | A | 48% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jul 27 | Reds | A | 46% | - | - | Scheduled |
| Jul 26 | Rays | A | 45% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jul 25 | Rays | A | 45% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jul 24 | Rays | A | 45% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jul 23 | Twins | H | 55% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jul 22 | Twins | H | 55% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jul 21 | Twins | H | 55% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jul 20 | Twins | H | 55% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jul 19 | Pirates | H | 55% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jul 18 | Pirates | H | 55% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jul 18 | Pirates | H | 56% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jul 17 | Pirates | H | 55% | - | - | Scheduled |
| Jul 12 | Marlins | A | 46% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jul 11 | Marlins | A | 46% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jul 10 | Marlins | A | 46% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jul 9 | Twins | A | 45% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jul 8 | Twins | A | 45% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jul 7 | Twins | A | 45% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jul 5 | Chicago White Sox | H | 55% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jul 4 | Chicago White Sox | H | 55% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jul 3 | Chicago White Sox | H | 55% | 55% | 0% | WIN✓ |
| Jul 2 | Chicago White Sox | H | 55% | 52% | +2% | WIN✓ |
| Jul 1 | Rangers | H | 55% | 53% | +2% | WIN✓ |
| Jun 30 | Rangers | H | 55% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jun 29 | Rangers | H | 55% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jun 28 | Mariners | H | 56% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jun 27 | Mariners | H | 56% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jun 26 | Mariners | H | 58% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jun 24 | Chicago White Sox | A | 45% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jun 23 | Chicago White Sox | A | 45% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jun 22 | Chicago White Sox | A | 45% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jun 21 | Astros | A | 46% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jun 20 | Astros | A | 46% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jun 20 | Astros | A | 44% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jun 18 | Brewers | A | 44% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jun 17 | Brewers | A | 44% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jun 16 | Brewers | A | 44% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jun 14 | Tigers | H | 56% | - | - | Scheduled |
| Jun 13 | Tigers | H | 56% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jun 12 | Tigers | H | 58% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jun 10 | Yankees | H | 55% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jun 9 | Yankees | H | 55% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jun 8 | Yankees | H | 55% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jun 7 | Rangers | A | 45% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jun 6 | Rangers | A | 45% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jun 6 | Rangers | A | 44% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jun 4 | Yankees | A | 45% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jun 3 | Yankees | A | 45% | 42% | +3% | WIN✗ |
| Jun 2 | Yankees | A | 45% | 33% | +12%★ | WIN✗ |
| May 31 | Red Sox | H | 56% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| May 30 | Red Sox | H | 56% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| May 29 | Red Sox | H | 58% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 27 | Nationals | H | 66% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 26 | Nationals | H | 8% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| May 25 | Nationals | H | 9% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| May 24 | Phillies | A | 61% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 23 | Phillies | A | 30% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| May 22 | Phillies | A | 36% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| May 21 | Tigers | A | 49% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| May 20 | Tigers | A | 91% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 19 | Tigers | A | 94% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 18 | Tigers | A | 95% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 17 | Reds | H | 92% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 16 | Reds | H | 86% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 15 | Reds | H | 72% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| May 13 | Angels | H | 89% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 12 | Angels | H | 53% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 11 | Angels | H | 70% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 10 | Twins | H | 63% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| May 9 | Twins | H | 59% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| May 8 | Twins | H | 53% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 7 | Royals | A | 39% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| May 6 | Royals | A | 90% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 5 | Royals | A | 76% | 52% | +24%★ | LOSS✗ |
| May 4 | Royals | A | 38% | 47% | -9% | LOSS✓ |
| May 3 | Athletics | A | 47% | 50% | -2% | LOSS✓ |
| May 2 | Athletics | A | 51% | 44% | +7%★ | WIN✓ |
| May 2 | Athletics | A | 73% | 44% | +29%★ | WIN✓ |
| Apr 29 | Rays | H | 81% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 28 | Rays | H | 39% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Apr 27 | Rays | H | 29% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Apr 26 | Blue Jays | A | 41% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Apr 25 | Blue Jays | A | 33% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Apr 24 | Blue Jays | A | 35% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Apr 22 | Astros | H | 60% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Apr 21 | Astros | H | 68% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 20 | Astros | H | 40% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Apr 19 | Orioles | H | 79% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 18 | Orioles | H | 58% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 17 | Orioles | H | 40% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Apr 16 | Orioles | H | 51% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 15 | Cardinals | A | 29% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Apr 14 | Cardinals | A | 69% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Apr 13 | Cardinals | A | 69% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 12 | Braves | A | 37% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Apr 11 | Braves | A | 72% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 10 | Braves | A | 16% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Apr 8 | Royals | H | 76% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 7 | Royals | H | 63% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 6 | Royals | H | 70% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Apr 5 | Cubs | H | 86% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 5 | Cubs | H | 66% | 46% | +20%★ | LOSS✗ |
| Apr 4 | Cubs | H | 55% | 48% | +6%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 3 | Cubs | H | 42% | 54% | -12% | WIN✗ |
| Apr 2 | Dodgers | A | 40% | 24% | +17%★ | WIN✗ |
| Apr 1 | Dodgers | A | 28% | 32% | -3% | LOSS✓ |
| Mar 31 | Dodgers | A | 18% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Mar 29 | Mariners | A | 41% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Mar 29 | Mariners | A | 88% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 28 | Mariners | A | 27% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Mar 27 | Mariners | A | 31% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Mar 24 | Diamondbacks | A | 58% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 24 | Diamondbacks | A | 46% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Mar 22 | Reds | H | 47% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Mar 21 | Giants | A | 27% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Mar 21 | Mariners | H | 19% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Mar 20 | Royals | H | 90% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 18 | Reds | A | 60% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 17 | Cubs | H | 58% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Mar 15 | Athletics | H | 85% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 14 | Padres | A | 27% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Mar 13 | Angels | A | 48% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Mar 13 | Brewers | H | 85% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 10 | Giants | H | 37% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Mar 9 | Royals | A | 77% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 8 | Rockies | A | 23% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Mar 7 | Padres | H | 60% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 6 | Angels | H | 72% | - | - | WIN✓ |
Model divergence: our model gives this team >5% more probability than the market implies
Upcoming Games
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Frequently Asked Questions
The Cleveland Guardians play in the American League conference, AL Central division.
The Guardians play their home games in Cleveland.
We analyze Guardians games using multiple factors including weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, injury reports, and historical performance to calculate win probabilities.
How We Analyze MLB Games
Learn about the factors behind our predictions