...
Scheduled
Orioles
Baltimore
54%
vs
Cubs
Chicago
46%
BAL vs CHCbreakdown →
MLBNational League • NL Central
Chicago Cubs
National League Conference • NL Central Division
Record
1-1
Division
NL Central
Conference
National League
Upcoming
4 games
Next Game Prediction
at Baltimore Orioles • Tue, Jul 7 10:35 PM
46%
win probability
Model accuracy on Chicago Cubs: 65% (111 games)
Team Analytics
Elo Rating History
Chicago Cubs - 2026 Season
150815011494
Current Elo
1495
Season Change
-12
Season High
1507
Season Low
1495
Avg Change
-2.2
Games
5
Model vs. Market History
Chicago Cubs - 2026 Season
Avg Edge
-2%
Model Edge Record
0-35
Model Edge Win %
0%
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Model | Market | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10 | Reds | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Jul 9 | Orioles | A | 46% | 50% | -4% | Scheduled |
| Jul 8 | Orioles | A | 46% | 50% | -4% | Scheduled |
| Jul 7 | Orioles | A | 46% | 50% | -4% | Scheduled |
| Jul 5 | Cardinals | H | 56% | 50% | +6%★ | Scheduled |
| Jul 5 | Cardinals | H | 56% | 50% | +6%★ | Scheduled |
| Jul 3 | Cardinals | H | 63% | 50% | +13%★ | Scheduled |
| Jul 1 | Padres | H | 53% | 50% | +3% | Scheduled |
| Jul 1 | Padres | H | 53% | 50% | +3% | Scheduled |
| Jun 30 | Padres | H | 53% | 50% | +3% | Scheduled |
| Jun 28 | Brewers | A | 43% | 50% | -7% | Scheduled |
| Jun 27 | Brewers | A | 43% | 50% | -7% | Scheduled |
| Jun 26 | Brewers | A | 42% | 50% | -8% | Scheduled |
| Jun 25 | Mets | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 24 | Mets | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 24 | Mets | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 23 | Mets | A | 47% | 50% | -3% | Scheduled |
| Jun 22 | Mets | A | 53% | 50% | +3% | Scheduled |
| Jun 21 | Blue Jays | H | 54% | 50% | +4% | Scheduled |
| Jun 20 | Blue Jays | H | 54% | 50% | +4% | Scheduled |
| Jun 19 | Blue Jays | H | 54% | 50% | +4% | Scheduled |
| Jun 18 | Rockies | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 17 | Rockies | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 16 | Rockies | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 14 | Giants | A | 44% | 50% | -6% | Scheduled |
| Jun 14 | Giants | A | 44% | 50% | -6% | Scheduled |
| Jun 13 | Giants | A | 43% | 50% | -7% | Scheduled |
| Jun 11 | Rockies | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 11 | Rockies | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 10 | Rockies | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 8 | Giants | H | 54% | 50% | +4% | Scheduled |
| Jun 6 | Giants | H | 54% | 50% | +4% | Scheduled |
| Jun 5 | Giants | H | 48% | 50% | -2% | Scheduled |
| Jun 5 | Oakland Athletics | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 4 | Oakland Athletics | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 3 | Oakland Athletics | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| May 31 | Cardinals | A | 46% | 50% | -4% | Scheduled |
| May 30 | Cardinals | A | 46% | 50% | -4% | Scheduled |
| May 29 | Cardinals | A | 44% | 50% | -6% | Scheduled |
| May 28 | Pirates | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| May 27 | Pirates | A | 24% | 50% | -26% | Scheduled |
| May 26 | Pirates | A | 25% | 50% | -25% | Scheduled |
| May 25 | Pirates | A | 16% | 50% | -34% | Scheduled |
| May 24 | Astros | H | 38% | 50% | -12% | Scheduled |
| May 23 | Astros | H | 12% | 50% | -38% | Scheduled |
| May 22 | Astros | H | 8% | 50% | -42% | Scheduled |
| May 20 | Brewers | H | 1% | 50% | -49% | Scheduled |
| May 19 | Brewers | H | 1% | 50% | -49% | Scheduled |
| May 18 | Brewers | H | 2% | 50% | -48% | Scheduled |
| May 17 | Chicago White Sox | A | 4% | 50% | -46% | Scheduled |
| May 16 | Chicago White Sox | A | 13% | 50% | -37% | Scheduled |
| May 15 | Chicago White Sox | A | 76% | 50% | +26%★ | Scheduled |
| May 14 | Braves | A | 59% | 50% | +9%★ | Scheduled |
| May 13 | Braves | A | 17% | 50% | -33% | Scheduled |
| May 12 | Braves | A | 9% | 50% | -41% | Scheduled |
| May 10 | Rangers | A | 15% | 50% | -35% | Scheduled |
| May 9 | Rangers | A | 6% | 50% | -44% | Scheduled |
| May 9 | Rangers | A | 34% | 50% | -16% | Scheduled |
| May 7 | Reds | H | 92% | 50% | +42%★ | Scheduled |
| May 6 | Reds | H | 81% | 50% | +31%★ | Scheduled |
| May 5 | Reds | H | 80% | 50% | +30%★ | Scheduled |
| May 4 | Reds | H | 86% | 50% | +36%★ | Scheduled |
| May 3 | Diamondbacks | H | 83% | 50% | +33%★ | Scheduled |
| May 2 | Diamondbacks | H | 83% | 50% | +33%★ | Scheduled |
| May 1 | Diamondbacks | H | 93% | 50% | +43%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 29 | Padres | A | 25% | 50% | -25% | Scheduled |
| Apr 29 | Padres | A | 57% | 50% | +7%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 28 | Padres | A | 40% | 50% | -10% | Scheduled |
| Apr 26 | Dodgers | A | 14% | 50% | -36% | Scheduled |
| Apr 25 | Dodgers | A | 8% | 50% | -42% | Scheduled |
| Apr 25 | Dodgers | A | 43% | 50% | -7% | Scheduled |
| Apr 23 | Phillies | H | 92% | 50% | +42%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 22 | Phillies | H | 85% | 50% | +35%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 21 | Phillies | H | 88% | 50% | +38%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 20 | Phillies | H | 81% | 50% | +31%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 19 | Mets | H | 78% | 50% | +28%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 18 | Mets | H | 86% | 50% | +36%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 17 | Mets | H | 74% | 50% | +24%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 15 | Phillies | A | 86% | 50% | +36%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 14 | Phillies | A | 85% | 50% | +35%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 13 | Phillies | A | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 12 | Pirates | H | 34% | 50% | -16% | Scheduled |
| Apr 11 | Pirates | H | 30% | 50% | -20% | Scheduled |
| Apr 10 | Pirates | H | 13% | 50% | -37% | Scheduled |
| Apr 8 | Rays | A | 39% | 50% | -11% | Scheduled |
| Apr 7 | Rays | A | 65% | 50% | +15%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 6 | Rays | A | 47% | 50% | -3% | Scheduled |
| Apr 5 | Guardians | A | 14% | 50% | -36% | Scheduled |
| Apr 5 | Guardians | A | 34% | 50% | -16% | Scheduled |
| Apr 4 | Guardians | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 3 | Guardians | A | 58% | 50% | +8%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 1 | Angels | H | 97% | 50% | +47%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 31 | Angels | H | 52% | 50% | +2% | Scheduled |
| Mar 30 | Angels | H | 42% | 50% | -8% | Scheduled |
| Mar 29 | Nationals | H | 17% | 50% | -33% | Scheduled |
| Mar 28 | Nationals | H | 48% | 50% | -2% | Scheduled |
| Mar 26 | Nationals | H | 18% | 50% | -32% | Scheduled |
| Mar 24 | Yankees | H | 23% | 50% | -27% | Scheduled |
| Mar 23 | Yankees | H | 39% | 50% | -11% | Scheduled |
| Mar 22 | Brewers | H | 34% | 50% | -16% | Scheduled |
| Mar 22 | Mariners | A | 80% | 50% | +30%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 21 | Oakland Athletics | A | 34% | 50% | -16% | Scheduled |
| Mar 21 | Reds | H | 87% | 50% | +37%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 18 | Diamondbacks | A | 40% | 50% | -10% | Scheduled |
| Mar 18 | Angels | H | 25% | 50% | -25% | Scheduled |
| Mar 17 | Guardians | A | 42% | 50% | -8% | Scheduled |
| Mar 15 | Dodgers | H | 68% | 50% | +18%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 14 | Rockies | A | 62% | 50% | +12%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 13 | Chicago White Sox | A | 23% | 50% | -27% | Scheduled |
| Mar 12 | Mariners | H | 56% | 50% | +6%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 11 | Royals | H | 81% | 50% | +31%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 10 | Rangers | A | 22% | 50% | -28% | Scheduled |
| Mar 8 | Giants | H | 76% | 50% | +26%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 7 | Oakland Athletics | H | 81% | 50% | +31%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 7 | Padres | A | 34% | 50% | -16% | Scheduled |
| Mar 4 | Brewers | A | 59% | 50% | +9%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 1 | Chicago White Sox | H | 56% | 50% | +6%★ | Scheduled |
| Feb 28 | Angels | A | 53% | 50% | +3% | Scheduled |
Model divergence: our model gives this team >5% more probability than the market implies
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Recent Games
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Frequently Asked Questions
The Chicago Cubs play in the National League conference, NL Central division.
The Cubs play their home games in Chicago.
We analyze Cubs games using multiple factors including weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, injury reports, and historical performance to calculate win probabilities.
How We Analyze MLB Games
Learn about the factors behind our predictions