...
Scheduled
Marlins
Miami
56%
Slight Lean
vs
Mariners
Seattle
44%
MIA vs SEAbreakdown →
MLB •
Seattle Mariners
Conference • Division
Record
2-1
Division
Conference
Upcoming
4 games
Next Game Prediction
at Miami Marlins • Tue, Jul 7 10:40 PM
44%
win probability
Model accuracy on Seattle Mariners: 74% (109 games)
Team Analytics
Elo Rating History
Seattle Mariners - 2026 Season
152814781428
Current Elo
1478
Season Change
+0
Season High
1478
Season Low
1478
Avg Change
-2.6
Games
1
Model vs. Market History
Seattle Mariners - 2026 Season
Avg Edge
-3%
Model Edge Record
0-31
Model Edge Win %
0%
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Model | Market | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10 | Rays | A | 44% | 50% | -6% | Scheduled |
| Jul 9 | Marlins | A | 44% | 50% | -6% | Scheduled |
| Jul 8 | Marlins | A | 44% | 50% | -6% | Scheduled |
| Jul 7 | Marlins | A | 44% | 50% | -6% | Scheduled |
| Jul 5 | Blue Jays | H | 53% | 50% | +3% | Scheduled |
| Jul 4 | Blue Jays | H | 53% | 50% | +3% | Scheduled |
| Jul 4 | Blue Jays | H | 51% | 50% | +1% | Scheduled |
| Jul 3 | Angels | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Jul 1 | Angels | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 30 | Angels | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 28 | Guardians | A | 44% | 50% | -6% | Scheduled |
| Jun 27 | Guardians | A | 44% | 50% | -6% | Scheduled |
| Jun 26 | Guardians | A | 42% | 50% | -8% | Scheduled |
| Jun 25 | Pirates | A | 44% | 50% | -6% | Scheduled |
| Jun 24 | Pirates | A | 44% | 50% | -6% | Scheduled |
| Jun 23 | Pirates | A | 44% | 50% | -6% | Scheduled |
| Jun 21 | Red Sox | H | 55% | 50% | +5%★ | Scheduled |
| Jun 21 | Red Sox | H | 55% | 50% | +5%★ | Scheduled |
| Jun 20 | Red Sox | H | 55% | 50% | +5%★ | Scheduled |
| Jun 18 | Orioles | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 18 | Orioles | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 17 | Orioles | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 14 | Nationals | A | 42% | 50% | -8% | Scheduled |
| Jun 13 | Nationals | A | 42% | 50% | -8% | Scheduled |
| Jun 12 | Nationals | A | 35% | 50% | -15% | Scheduled |
| Jun 11 | Orioles | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 10 | Orioles | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 9 | Orioles | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 8 | Orioles | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 7 | Tigers | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 6 | Tigers | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 5 | Tigers | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 3 | Mets | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 3 | Mets | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 2 | Mets | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| May 31 | Diamondbacks | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| May 31 | Diamondbacks | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| May 30 | Diamondbacks | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| May 27 | Oakland Athletics | A | 52% | 50% | +2% | Scheduled |
| May 27 | Oakland Athletics | A | 93% | 50% | +43%★ | Scheduled |
| May 26 | Oakland Athletics | A | 94% | 50% | +44%★ | Scheduled |
| May 24 | Royals | A | 33% | 50% | -17% | Scheduled |
| May 23 | Royals | A | 12% | 50% | -38% | Scheduled |
| May 22 | Royals | A | 69% | 50% | +19%★ | Scheduled |
| May 20 | Chicago White Sox | H | 85% | 50% | +35%★ | Scheduled |
| May 20 | Chicago White Sox | H | 14% | 50% | -36% | Scheduled |
| May 19 | Chicago White Sox | H | 10% | 50% | -40% | Scheduled |
| May 17 | Padres | H | 5% | 50% | -45% | Scheduled |
| May 16 | Padres | H | 17% | 50% | -33% | Scheduled |
| May 16 | Padres | H | 5% | 50% | -45% | Scheduled |
| May 14 | Astros | A | 72% | 50% | +22%★ | Scheduled |
| May 14 | Astros | A | 34% | 50% | -16% | Scheduled |
| May 13 | Astros | A | 83% | 50% | +33%★ | Scheduled |
| May 12 | Astros | A | 74% | 50% | +24%★ | Scheduled |
| May 10 | Chicago White Sox | A | 14% | 50% | -36% | Scheduled |
| May 9 | Chicago White Sox | A | 31% | 50% | -19% | Scheduled |
| May 8 | Chicago White Sox | A | 41% | 50% | -9% | Scheduled |
| May 6 | Braves | H | 81% | 50% | +31%★ | Scheduled |
| May 6 | Braves | H | 32% | 50% | -18% | Scheduled |
| May 5 | Braves | H | 33% | 50% | -17% | Scheduled |
| May 3 | Royals | H | 72% | 50% | +22%★ | Scheduled |
| May 3 | Royals | H | 51% | 50% | +1% | Scheduled |
| May 2 | Royals | H | 78% | 50% | +28%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 29 | Twins | A | 70% | 50% | +20%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 28 | Twins | A | 94% | 50% | +44%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 27 | Twins | A | 68% | 50% | +18%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 26 | Cardinals | A | 68% | 50% | +18%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 25 | Cardinals | A | 40% | 50% | -10% | Scheduled |
| Apr 25 | Cardinals | A | 47% | 50% | -3% | Scheduled |
| Apr 22 | Oakland Athletics | H | 77% | 50% | +27%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 22 | Oakland Athletics | H | 17% | 50% | -33% | Scheduled |
| Apr 21 | Oakland Athletics | H | 16% | 50% | -34% | Scheduled |
| Apr 19 | Rangers | H | 75% | 50% | +25%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 18 | Rangers | H | 80% | 50% | +30%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 18 | Rangers | H | 28% | 50% | -22% | Scheduled |
| Apr 17 | Padres | A | 13% | 50% | -37% | Scheduled |
| Apr 16 | Padres | A | 34% | 50% | -16% | Scheduled |
| Apr 15 | Padres | A | 9% | 50% | -41% | Scheduled |
| Apr 13 | Astros | H | 30% | 50% | -20% | Scheduled |
| Apr 12 | Astros | H | 75% | 50% | +25%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 12 | Astros | H | 73% | 50% | +23%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 11 | Astros | H | 70% | 50% | +20%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 8 | Rangers | A | 7% | 50% | -43% | Scheduled |
| Apr 8 | Rangers | A | 51% | 50% | +1% | Scheduled |
| Apr 7 | Rangers | A | 48% | 50% | -2% | Scheduled |
| Apr 5 | Angels | A | 54% | 50% | +4% | Scheduled |
| Apr 5 | Angels | A | 76% | 50% | +26%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 4 | Angels | A | 71% | 50% | +21%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 1 | Yankees | H | 49% | 50% | -1% | Scheduled |
| Apr 1 | Yankees | H | 26% | 50% | -24% | Scheduled |
| Mar 31 | Yankees | H | 54% | 50% | +4% | Scheduled |
| Mar 29 | Guardians | H | 59% | 50% | +9%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 29 | Guardians | H | 12% | 50% | -38% | Scheduled |
| Mar 28 | Guardians | H | 73% | 50% | +23%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 27 | Guardians | H | 69% | 50% | +19%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 23 | Padres | A | 39% | 50% | -11% | Scheduled |
| Mar 23 | Chicago White Sox | A | 78% | 50% | +28%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 22 | Cubs | H | 20% | 50% | -30% | Scheduled |
| Mar 21 | Guardians | A | 81% | 50% | +31%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 20 | Oakland Athletics | A | 50% | 50% | 0% | Scheduled |
| Mar 18 | Brewers | H | 21% | 50% | -29% | Scheduled |
| Mar 17 | Padres | H | 17% | 50% | -33% | Scheduled |
| Mar 17 | Rockies | A | 54% | 50% | +4% | Scheduled |
| Mar 15 | Reds | H | 21% | 50% | -29% | Scheduled |
| Mar 14 | Angels | A | 48% | 50% | -2% | Scheduled |
| Mar 14 | Dodgers | H | 20% | 50% | -30% | Scheduled |
| Mar 12 | Cubs | A | 44% | 50% | -6% | Scheduled |
| Mar 11 | Rockies | H | 16% | 50% | -34% | Scheduled |
| Mar 10 | Royals | H | 67% | 50% | +17%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 9 | Diamondbacks | A | 10% | 50% | -40% | Scheduled |
| Mar 8 | Brewers | A | 23% | 50% | -27% | Scheduled |
| Mar 7 | Chicago White Sox | H | 37% | 50% | -13% | Scheduled |
| Mar 6 | Rangers | A | 20% | 50% | -30% | Scheduled |
Model divergence: our model gives this team >5% more probability than the market implies
Upcoming Games
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Frequently Asked Questions
The Seattle Mariners play in the conference, division.
The Mariners play their home games in Seattle.
We analyze Mariners games using multiple factors including weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, injury reports, and historical performance to calculate win probabilities.
How We Analyze MLB Games
Learn about the factors behind our predictions