Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels 52% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Angels:
- Injuries. Angels healthier (10 out, 0 doubtful) vs Mariners (11 out, 0 doubtful)
- Rest Days. Angels rest advantage (1 day rest) over Mariners (back-to-back)
Make Your Prediction
View leaderboard to see rankings
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Angels defeated the Mariners 6-4.
Our model predicted the Angels would win with 52% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Angels and was a notable factor: Angels healthier (10 out, 0 doubtful) vs Mariners (11 out, 0 doubtful)
- Rest Days favored the Angels and was a major factor: Angels rest advantage (1 day rest) over Mariners (back-to-back)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Mariners and was a notable factor: Mariners are 37-33 at home this season; Angels are 28-47 on the road
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Mariners have 11 player(s) ruled out, while the Angels have 10.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Angels won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Los Angeles Angels
- Rest DaysFavors Los Angeles Angels
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Seattle Mariners
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Seattle Mariners
- ELO RatingFavors Seattle Mariners
- Recent FormFavors Seattle Mariners
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Medium impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest Days
Angels rest advantage (1 day rest) over Mariners (back-to-back)
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Angels
Mariners
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Mariners has a 48% win probability, while Angels has a 52% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington.