New York Mets at Texas Rangers
New York Mets 55% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Mets:
- Injuries. Mets healthier (7 out, 0 doubtful) vs Rangers (9 out, 0 doubtful)
- Offensive Efficiency. Mets offense (4.3 R/G) outpaces Rangers (4.2 R/G)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Rangers defeated the Mets 3-1.
Our model predicted the Mets would win with 55% confidence, but the Rangers pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Mets and was a major factor: Mets healthier (7 out, 0 doubtful) vs Rangers (9 out, 0 doubtful)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Rangers and was a notable factor: Rangers are 43-32 at home this season; Mets are 33-38 on the road
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Mets and was a contributing factor: Mets offense (4.3 R/G) outpaces Rangers (4.2 R/G)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Rangers have 9 player(s) ruled out, while the Mets have 7.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Rangers won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors New York Mets
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Texas Rangers
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors New York Mets
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Texas Rangers
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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3 factors
Injuries
Mets healthier (7 out, 0 doubtful) vs Rangers (9 out, 0 doubtful)
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Mets
Rangers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Rangers has a 45% win probability, while Mets has a 55% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas.