Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks 80% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Diamondbacks:
- Defensive Efficiency. Diamondbacks pitching/defense (4.4 RA/G) better than Rockies (5.8 RA/G)
- Injuries. Diamondbacks healthier (5 out, 0 doubtful) vs Rockies (7 out, 0 doubtful)
- ELO Rating. Rockies ELO 1403 vs Diamondbacks ELO 1528 (diff: -125)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Diamondbacks defeated the Rockies 12-8.
Our model predicted the Diamondbacks would win with 80% confidence -- and they delivered. This was a high-confidence call that played out as expected.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Diamondbacks and was a major factor: Diamondbacks pitching/defense (4.4 RA/G) better than Rockies (5.8 RA/G)
- Injuries favored the Diamondbacks and was a major factor: Diamondbacks healthier (5 out, 0 doubtful) vs Rockies (7 out, 0 doubtful)
- ELO Rating favored the Diamondbacks and was a notable factor: Rockies ELO 1403 vs Diamondbacks ELO 1528 (diff: -125)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Rockies have 7 player(s) ruled out, while the Diamondbacks have 5.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Diamondbacks won by a solid margin
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Arizona Diamondbacks
- InjuriesFavors Arizona Diamondbacks
- ELO RatingFavors Arizona Diamondbacks
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Colorado Rockies
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Colorado Rockies
- Recent FormFavors Arizona Diamondbacks
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Defensive Efficiency
Diamondbacks pitching/defense (4.4 RA/G) better than Rockies (5.8 RA/G)
Offensive Efficiency
Rockies offense (4.6 R/G) outpaces Diamondbacks (4.5 R/G)
Recent Form
Diamondbacks (84-74) in better form than Rockies (57-101)
Injuries
Diamondbacks healthier (5 out, 0 doubtful) vs Rockies (7 out, 0 doubtful)
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Diamondbacks
Rockies
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Rockies has a 20% win probability, while Diamondbacks has a 80% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Coors Field in Denver, Colorado.