Chicago Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals
Chicago Chicago White Sox 63% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Chicago White Sox:
- Injuries. Chicago White Sox healthier (7 out, 0 doubtful) vs Royals (12 out, 0 doubtful)
- ELO Rating. Royals ELO 1422 vs Chicago White Sox ELO 1522 (diff: -100)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Chicago White Sox defeated the Royals 9-1.
Our model predicted the Chicago White Sox would win with 63% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Chicago White Sox and was a major factor: Chicago White Sox healthier (7 out, 0 doubtful) vs Royals (12 out, 0 doubtful)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Royals and was a notable factor: Royals are 32-35 at home this season; Chicago White Sox are 29-43 on the road
- ELO Rating favored the Chicago White Sox and was a contributing factor: Royals ELO 1422 vs Chicago White Sox ELO 1522 (diff: -100)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Royals have 12 player(s) ruled out, while the Chicago White Sox have 8.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Chicago White Sox won comfortably
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Chicago Chicago White Sox
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Kansas City Royals
- ELO RatingFavors Chicago Chicago White Sox
- Recent FormNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries
Chicago White Sox healthier (7 out, 0 doubtful) vs Royals (12 out, 0 doubtful)
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Chicago White Sox
Royals
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Royals has a 37% win probability, while Chicago White Sox has a 63% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri.