MLB2026 season
Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Thu, Sep 24, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- CWS at KCThu, Sep 24, 2026KC 37%CWS 9–1
- CWS at KCWed, Sep 23, 2026KC 51%KC 4–5
- CWS at KCTue, Sep 22, 2026—CWS 14–11
- KC at CWSSun, Jun 28, 2026CWS 55%KC 5–4
- KC at CWSSat, Jun 27, 2026CWS 55%CWS 1–2
- KC at CWSFri, Jun 26, 2026CWS 57%CWS 1–22
- KC at CWSThu, May 14, 2026CWS 55%CWS 2–6
- KC at CWSWed, May 13, 2026CWS 55%CWS 5–6
- KC at CWSTue, May 12, 2026CWS 55%CWS 5–6
- CWS at KCSun, Apr 12, 2026KC 55%CWS 6–5
- CWS at KCSat, Apr 11, 2026KC 55%KC 0–2
- CWS at KCFri, Apr 10, 2026KC 55%KC 0–2
- CWS at KCThu, Apr 9, 2026KC 55%CWS 2–0
- CWS at KCSun, Mar 15, 2026KC 55%KC 4–10
- KC at CWSSun, Mar 8, 2026CWS 56%CWS 4–5
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
79%
11 of 14 decided games
Meetings graded
14
2026
Correct calls
11
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Chicago White Sox
- Offensive Efficiency — Chicago White Sox offense (4.8 R/G) outpaces Guardians (4.2 R/G)
Kansas City Royals
- Home Field Advantage — Royals are 32-38 at home this season; Guardians are 38-32 on the road
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