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Chicago Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals

MLBregular โ€ข 2026-2027 Season
completed
Royals logo
Royals
Kansas City
5
vs
KC 51%49% CWS
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Kansas City Royals 51% to win. The biggest signal favoring Royals:

  • Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

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VenueKauffman Stadium
Kansas City, Missouri

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Chicago White Sox (away)
Royals (home)
49%
Win probability
51%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Royals defeated the Chicago White Sox 5-4.

Our model predicted the Royals would win with 51% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Royals and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Offensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No offensive stats available for comparison
  • Head to Head was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent head-to-head history available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Royals won 5-4

Royals won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Royals at 51%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Kansas City Royals
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
  • InjuriesNeutral
  • Rest DaysNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

CWS
KC
Home Field Advantage
Favours CWS|Favours KC

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 โ€ข Calculated: 9/23/2026, 11:30:02 PM

Key Players

Chicago White Sox

Noah SchultzSP
Sean BurkeSP
Hagen SmithSP
Erick FeddeSP
Joe RockSP

Royals

Michael WachaSP
Randy DobnakSP
Seth LugoSP
Stephen KolekSP
Noah CameronSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Royals has a 51% win probability, while Chicago White Sox has a 49% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri.

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