MLB2026 season
Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Wed, Sep 23, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- TOR at BALWed, Sep 23, 2026BAL 56%BAL 2–4
- TOR at BALWed, Sep 23, 2026—BAL 2–4
- TOR at BALMon, Sep 21, 2026—BAL 3–4
- BAL at TORSun, Jun 7, 2026TOR 57%TOR 4–6
- BAL at TORSat, Jun 6, 2026TOR 57%TOR 4–6
- BAL at TORFri, Jun 5, 2026TOR 51%BAL 13–3
- TOR at BALSun, May 31, 2026BAL 53%BAL 5–9
- TOR at BALSat, May 30, 2026BAL 53%BAL 5–6
- TOR at BALFri, May 29, 2026BAL 53%TOR 6–5
- TOR at BALThu, May 28, 2026BAL 53%TOR 2–1
- BAL at TORWed, Mar 18, 2026TOR 55%BAL 3–2
- TOR at BALSun, Mar 8, 2026BAL 56%TOR 1–0
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
50%
5 of 10 decided games
Meetings graded
10
2026
Correct calls
5
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Baltimore Orioles
No recent factors yet.
Toronto Blue Jays
- Defensive Efficiency — Blue Jays pitching/defense (4.3 RA/G) better than Reds (5.1 RA/G)
- Home Field Advantage — Blue Jays are 36-34 at home this season; Reds are 33-40 on the road
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