MLB2026 season
Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Thu, Sep 24, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- STL at PITThu, Sep 24, 2026PIT 55%PIT 1–2
- STL at PITWed, Sep 23, 2026PIT 56%STL 5–1
- STL at PITTue, Sep 22, 2026—PIT 0–2
- PIT at STLThu, May 21, 2026STL 54%PIT 6–2
- PIT at STLWed, May 20, 2026STL 54%PIT 7–0
- PIT at STLTue, May 19, 2026STL 54%STL 6–9
- STL at PITThu, Apr 30, 2026PIT 55%STL 10–5
- STL at PITWed, Apr 29, 2026PIT 55%STL 5–4
- STL at PITTue, Apr 28, 2026PIT 55%STL 11–7
- STL at PITMon, Apr 27, 2026PIT 55%STL 4–2
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
22%
2 of 9 decided games
Meetings graded
9
2026
Correct calls
2
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Pittsburgh Pirates
- Injuries — Pirates healthier (5 out, 0 doubtful) vs Tigers (13 out, 0 doubtful)
- Offensive Efficiency — Pirates offense (4.7 R/G) outpaces Tigers (4.5 R/G)
St. Louis Cardinals
- Injuries — Cardinals healthier (6 out, 0 doubtful) vs Brewers (6 out, 0 doubtful)
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