MLB2026 season
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Thu, Sep 24, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- ARI at COLThu, Sep 24, 2026COL 20%ARI 12–8
- ARI at COLWed, Sep 23, 2026COL 51%ARI 5–3
- ARI at COLTue, Sep 22, 2026—ARI 7–2
- COL at ARISun, May 24, 2026ARI 54%ARI 1–9
- COL at ARISat, May 23, 2026ARI 54%ARI 4–5
- COL at ARIFri, May 22, 2026ARI 54%COL 3–2
- COL at ARIThu, May 21, 2026ARI 54%ARI 1–2
- ARI at COLSun, May 17, 2026COL 56%ARI 8–6
- ARI at COLSat, May 16, 2026COL 56%COL 2–4
- ARI at COLFri, May 15, 2026COL 53%ARI 9–1
- COL at ARIThu, Mar 12, 2026—COL 13–2
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
56%
5 of 9 decided games
Meetings graded
9
2026
Correct calls
5
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Arizona Diamondbacks
- Offensive Efficiency — Diamondbacks offense (4.6 R/G) outpaces Padres (4.4 R/G)
Colorado Rockies
- Injuries — Rockies healthier (7 out, 0 doubtful) vs Chicago White Sox (9 out, 0 doubtful)
Get the weekly model report card
Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.