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Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Diamondbacks logo
Diamondbacks
Arizona
2
vs
Rockies logo
Rockies
Colorado
3
ARI 54%46% COL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueChase Field
Phoenix, Arizona

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Rockies (away)
Diamondbacks (home)
46%
Win probability
54%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Rockies defeated the Diamondbacks 3-2.

Our model predicted the Diamondbacks would win with 54% confidence, but the Rockies pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Diamondbacks and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Head to Head was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent head-to-head history available
  • Recent Form was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent form data available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Rockies won 2-3

Rockies won in a close game

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Diamondbacks at 54%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

COL
ARI
Home Field Advantage
Favours COL|Favours ARI

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 5/22/2026, 8:45:01 AM

Key Players

Rockies

Tomoyuki SuganoSP
Michael LorenzenSP
Blas CastanoSP
Kyle FreelandSP
Jose QuintanaSP

Diamondbacks

Ryne NelsonSP
Zac GallenSP
Michael SorokaSP
Eduardo RodriguezSP
Merrill KellySP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Diamondbacks has a 54% win probability, while Rockies has a 46% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona.

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