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Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Rockies logo
Rockies
Colorado
4
vs
Diamondbacks logo
Diamondbacks
Arizona
2
COL 56%44% ARI
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueCoors Field
Denver, Colorado

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Diamondbacks (away)
Rockies (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Rockies defeated the Diamondbacks 4-2.

Our model predicted the Rockies would win with 56% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Rockies and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Offensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No offensive stats available for comparison
  • Head to Head was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent head-to-head history available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Rockies won 4-2

Rockies won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Rockies at 56%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

ARI
COL
Home Field Advantage
Favours ARI|Favours COL

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 5/16/2026, 8:45:00 AM

Key Players

Diamondbacks

Ryne NelsonSP
Zac GallenSP
Michael SorokaSP
Eduardo RodriguezSP
Merrill KellySP

Rockies

Tomoyuki SuganoSP
Michael LorenzenSP
Blas CastanoSP
Kyle FreelandSP
Jose QuintanaSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Rockies has a 56% win probability, while Diamondbacks has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Coors Field in Denver, Colorado.

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