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MLB2026 season

New York Mets vs Texas Rangers

Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Most recent meeting

Thu, Sep 24, 2026

Rangers logo
TEX
Texas Rangers
3
vs
Mets logo
NYM
New York Mets
1
TEX 45%55% NYM
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This season

2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate
0%
0 of 2 decided games
Meetings graded
2
2026
Correct calls
0
Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.

New York Mets
  • Defensive Efficiency — Mets pitching/defense (4.5 RA/G) better than Nationals (5.0 RA/G)
Texas Rangers
  • Defensive Efficiency — Rangers pitching/defense (4.4 RA/G) better than Twins (4.9 RA/G)
  • Injuries — Rangers healthier (10 out, 0 doubtful) vs Twins (9 out, 0 doubtful)

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