MLB2026 season
Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Sun, Sep 27, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- LAA at SEASun, Sep 27, 2026SEA 48%SEA 3–7
- LAA at SEASat, Sep 26, 2026SEA 50%SEA 4–8
- LAA at SEAFri, Sep 25, 2026SEA 51%LAA 7–5
- LAA at SEAThu, Sep 24, 2026SEA 48%LAA 6–4
- SEA at LAAWed, Sep 16, 2026—SEA 7–2
- LAA at SEAThu, Jul 2, 2026SEA 55%SEA 0–1
- LAA at SEATue, Jun 30, 2026SEA 55%SEA 3–8
- LAA at SEAMon, Jun 29, 2026SEA 55%SEA 2–6
- SEA at LAASun, Apr 5, 2026LAA 55%LAA 7–8
- SEA at LAASat, Apr 4, 2026LAA 55%LAA 0–1
- SEA at LAAFri, Apr 3, 2026LAA 55%SEA 3–1
- SEA at LAASat, Mar 14, 2026LAA 55%LAA 2–6
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
64%
7 of 11 decided games
Meetings graded
11
2026
Correct calls
7
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Los Angeles Angels
- Injuries — Angels healthier (10 out, 0 doubtful) vs Mariners (12 out, 0 doubtful)
Seattle Mariners
- Home Field Advantage — Mariners are 38-35 at home this season; Angels are 30-48 on the road
- Defensive Efficiency — Mariners pitching/defense (4.5 RA/G) better than Angels (4.6 RA/G)
- ELO Rating — Mariners ELO 1462 vs Angels ELO 1417 (diff: +46)
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