Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees
New York Yankees 60% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Yankees:
- Defensive Efficiency. Yankees pitching/defense (3.7 RA/G) better than Rays (4.0 RA/G)
- Home Field Advantage. Yankees are 42-30 at home this season; Rays are 33-40 on the road
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Rays at Yankees
The Rays visit the Yankees at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York in 2026-2027 MLB postseason play.
Our model gives the Yankees a 60% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. The Rays will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Defensive Efficiency favors the Yankees (low): Yankees pitching/defense (3.7 RA/G) better than Rays (4.0 RA/G)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Yankees (medium): Yankees are 42-30 at home this season; Rays are 33-40 on the road
- Offensive Efficiency is neutral: Similar run production (4.6 vs 4.5 R/G)
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors New York Yankees
- Home Field AdvantageFavors New York Yankees
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Rays
No player data available
Yankees
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Yankees has a 60% win probability, while Rays has a 40% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York.