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Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves

MLBpostseason • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Braves logo
Braves
Atlanta
1
vs
Dodgers logo
Dodgers
Los Angeles
4
ATL 32%68% LAD
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Los Angeles Dodgers 68% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Dodgers:

  • Injuries. Dodgers healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Braves 9 out, 0 doubtful
  • Offensive Efficiency. Dodgers offense (4.9 R/G) outpaces Braves (4.6 R/G)
  • Defensive Efficiency. Dodgers pitching/defense (3.7 RA/G) better than Braves (3.9 RA/G)

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VenueTruist Park
Atlanta, Georgia

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Dodgers (away)
Braves (home)
68%
Win probability
32%
1
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Dodgers defeated the Braves 4-1.

Our model predicted the Dodgers would win with 68% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Injuries favored the Dodgers and was a major factor: Dodgers healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Braves 9 out, 0 doubtful
  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Dodgers and was a contributing factor: Dodgers offense (4.9 R/G) outpaces Braves (4.6 R/G)
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Braves and was a notable factor: Braves are 50-24 at home this season; Dodgers are 45-26 on the road
  • The Braves are without 9 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Dodgers won 1-4

Dodgers won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Dodgers at 68%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • InjuriesFavors Los Angeles Dodgers
  • Offensive EfficiencyFavors Los Angeles Dodgers
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Atlanta Braves
  • Defensive EfficiencyFavors Los Angeles Dodgers
  • Recent FormNeutral
  • ELO RatingNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

LAD
ATL
Injuries
Offensive Efficiency
Home Field Advantage
Defensive Efficiency
Recent Form
ELO Rating
Favours LAD|Favours ATL

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds

Braves

Our Model32%

Dodgers

Our Model68%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Injuries

Dodgers healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Braves 9 out, 0 doubtful

Dodgers

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/7/2026, 9:45:00 PM

Key Players

Dodgers

No player data available

Braves

Grant HolmesSP
JR RitchieSP
AJ Smith-ShawverSP
Tyler MahleSP
Martin PerezSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Braves has a 32% win probability, while Dodgers has a 68% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia.

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