MLB2026 season
Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- CWS at CLESat, Oct 10, 2026CLE 65%CLE 0–2
- CLE at CWSThu, Oct 8, 2026CWS 45%CLE 9–5
- CLE at CWSWed, Oct 7, 2026CWS 45%CLE 9–3
- CWS at CLEMon, Oct 5, 2026CLE 64%CWS 4–3
- CWS at CLESat, Oct 3, 2026CLE 64%CWS 3–0
- CWS at CLEWed, Sep 16, 2026—CLE 3–6
- CLE at CWSFri, Aug 7, 2026CWS 55%CLE 8–2
- CWS at CLESun, Jul 5, 2026CLE 55%CWS 7–6
- CWS at CLESat, Jul 4, 2026CLE 55%CWS 3–1
- CWS at CLEFri, Jul 3, 2026CLE 55%CLE 3–4
- CWS at CLEThu, Jul 2, 2026CLE 55%CLE 5–6
- CLE at CWSWed, Jun 24, 2026CWS 55%CLE 4–3
- CLE at CWSTue, Jun 23, 2026CWS 55%CWS 1–2
- CLE at CWSMon, Jun 22, 2026CWS 55%CWS 5–6
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
54%
7 of 13 decided games
Meetings graded
13
2026
Correct calls
7
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Chicago White Sox
- Offensive Efficiency — Chicago White Sox offense (4.8 R/G) outpaces Guardians (4.2 R/G)
Cleveland Guardians
No recent factors yet.
Get the weekly model report card
Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.

