Chicago Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians 64% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Guardians:
- Injuries. Guardians healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Chicago White Sox 9 out, 0 doubtful
- Defensive Efficiency. Guardians pitching/defense (4.1 RA/G) better than Chicago White Sox (4.4 RA/G)
- Home Field Advantage. Guardians are 38-34 at home this season; Chicago White Sox are 32-43 on the road
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Chicago White Sox defeated the Guardians 3-0.
Our model predicted the Guardians would win with 64% confidence, but the Chicago White Sox pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Guardians and was a major factor: Guardians healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Chicago White Sox 9 out, 0 doubtful
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Chicago White Sox and was a notable factor: Chicago White Sox offense (4.8 R/G) outpaces Guardians (4.2 R/G)
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Guardians and was a contributing factor: Guardians pitching/defense (4.1 RA/G) better than Chicago White Sox (4.4 RA/G)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Guardians have 3 player(s) ruled out, while the Chicago White Sox have 9.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Chicago White Sox won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Cleveland Guardians
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Chicago Chicago White Sox
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Cleveland Guardians
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Cleveland Guardians
- ELO RatingFavors Chicago Chicago White Sox
- Rest DaysFavors Chicago Chicago White Sox
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Guardians
Chicago White Sox
Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries
Guardians healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Chicago White Sox 9 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Injury Report
Guardians
Chicago White Sox
Key Players
Chicago White Sox
Guardians
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Guardians has a 64% win probability, while Chicago White Sox has a 36% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio.