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MLB2026 season

Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros

Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Most recent meeting

Wed, Sep 30, 2026

Astros logo
HOU
Houston Astros
3
vs
Chicago White Sox logo
CWS
Chicago White Sox
7
HOU 38%62% CWS
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This season

2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate
60%
3 of 5 decided games
Meetings graded
5
2026
Correct calls
3
Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.

Chicago White Sox
  • Offensive Efficiency — Chicago White Sox offense (4.8 R/G) outpaces Guardians (4.2 R/G)
Houston Astros
  • Home Field Advantage — Astros are 37-38 at home this season; Chicago White Sox are 31-43 on the road

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