Chicago Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros
Chicago Chicago White Sox 61% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Chicago White Sox:
- Injuries. Chicago White Sox less affected by injuries: 9 out, 0 doubtful vs Astros 9 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Astros players matter more
- Defensive Efficiency. Chicago White Sox pitching/defense (4.4 RA/G) better than Astros (4.7 RA/G)
- Offensive Efficiency. Chicago White Sox offense (4.8 R/G) outpaces Astros (4.5 R/G)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Chicago White Sox defeated the Astros 6-3.
Our model predicted the Chicago White Sox would win with 61% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Chicago White Sox and was a notable factor: Chicago White Sox less affected by injuries: 9 out, 0 doubtful vs Astros 9 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Astros pl...
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Chicago White Sox and was a contributing factor: Chicago White Sox pitching/defense (4.4 RA/G) better than Astros (4.7 RA/G)
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Chicago White Sox and was a contributing factor: Chicago White Sox offense (4.8 R/G) outpaces Astros (4.5 R/G)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Astros have 9 player(s) ruled out, while the Chicago White Sox have 9.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Chicago White Sox won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Chicago Chicago White Sox
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Chicago Chicago White Sox
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Chicago Chicago White Sox
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Houston Astros
- Recent FormNeutral
- ELO RatingNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Astros
Chicago White Sox
Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Medium impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Injury Report
Astros
Chicago White Sox
Key Players
Chicago White Sox
Astros
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Astros has a 39% win probability, while Chicago White Sox has a 61% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Daikin Park in Houston, Texas.