MLB2026 season
Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Wed, Sep 30, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- BOS at NYYWed, Sep 30, 2026NYY 73%NYY 2–9
- BOS at NYYTue, Sep 29, 2026NYY 72%NYY 0–9
- NYY at BOSSun, Jun 28, 2026BOS 55%BOS 4–5
- NYY at BOSSat, Jun 27, 2026BOS 55%BOS 1–4
- NYY at BOSFri, Jun 26, 2026BOS 55%BOS 1–6
- NYY at BOSThu, Jun 25, 2026BOS 55%BOS 3–6
- BOS at NYYSun, Jun 7, 2026NYY 55%NYY 1–6
- BOS at NYYFri, Jun 5, 2026NYY 55%BOS 5–3
- NYY at BOSThu, Apr 23, 2026BOS 55%NYY 4–2
- NYY at BOSWed, Apr 22, 2026BOS 55%NYY 4–1
- NYY at BOSTue, Apr 21, 2026BOS 53%NYY 4–0
- BOS at NYYWed, Mar 18, 2026NYY 55%NYY 0–1
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
67%
8 of 12 decided games
Meetings graded
12
2026
Correct calls
8
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Boston Red Sox
- ELO Rating — Yankees ELO 1533 vs Red Sox ELO 1567 (diff: -35)
New York Yankees
- Defensive Efficiency — Yankees pitching/defense (3.7 RA/G) better than Rays (4.0 RA/G)
- Home Field Advantage — Yankees are 42-30 at home this season; Rays are 33-40 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
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