MLB2026 season
Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Thu, Oct 1, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- PHI at ATLThu, Oct 1, 2026ATL 52%ATL 2–6
- PHI at ATLWed, Sep 30, 2026ATL 53%PHI 4–3
- PHI at ATLTue, Sep 29, 2026ATL 52%ATL 3–5
- PHI at ATLSun, Apr 26, 2026ATL 55%ATL 2–6
- PHI at ATLSat, Apr 25, 2026ATL 55%PHI 8–5
- PHI at ATLFri, Apr 24, 2026ATL 55%ATL 3–5
- ATL at PHISun, Apr 19, 2026PHI 55%ATL 4–2
- ATL at PHISat, Apr 18, 2026PHI 55%ATL 3–1
- ATL at PHIFri, Apr 17, 2026PHI 57%ATL 9–0
- PHI at ATLWed, Mar 18, 2026ATL 55%ATL 2–3
- ATL at PHISun, Mar 15, 2026PHI 55%ATL 1–0
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
45%
5 of 11 decided games
Meetings graded
11
2026
Correct calls
5
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Atlanta Braves
- Home Field Advantage — Braves are 50-24 at home this season; Dodgers are 45-26 on the road
Philadelphia Phillies
- Injuries — Phillies healthier: 5 out, 0 doubtful vs Braves 10 out, 0 doubtful
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