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Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Braves logo
Braves
Atlanta
3
vs
Phillies logo
Phillies
Philadelphia
2
ATL 55%45% PHI
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueCoolToday Park
North Port, Florida

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Phillies (away)
Braves (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Braves defeated the Phillies 3-2.

Our model predicted the Braves would win with 55% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Braves and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Recent Form was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent form data available
  • Injuries was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar injury situations: Braves (0 out) vs Phillies (0 out)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Braves won 3-2

Braves won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Braves at 55%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

PHI
ATL
Home Field Advantage
Favours PHI|Favours ATL

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

2 factors not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/18/2026, 8:45:00 AM

Key Players

Phillies

Zack WheelerSP
Andrew PainterSP
Aaron NolaSP
Jesus LuzardoSP
Cristopher SanchezSP

Braves

Chris SaleSP
Spencer StriderSP
Bryce ElderSP
Grant HolmesSP
Martin PerezSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Braves has a 55% win probability, while Phillies has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at CoolToday Park in North Port, Florida.

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