MLB2026 season
Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Sun, Sep 27, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- CLE at KCSun, Sep 27, 2026KC 25%KC 2–3
- CLE at KCSat, Sep 26, 2026KC 26%CLE 11–5
- CLE at KCFri, Sep 25, 2026KC 27%CLE 12–9
- CLE at KCThu, May 7, 2026KC 55%CLE 8–5
- CLE at KCWed, May 6, 2026KC 55%CLE 3–1
- CLE at KCTue, May 5, 2026KC 55%KC 3–5
- CLE at KCMon, May 4, 2026KC 55%KC 2–6
- KC at CLEWed, Apr 8, 2026CLE 55%CLE 2–10
- KC at CLETue, Apr 7, 2026CLE 55%CLE 1–2
- KC at CLEMon, Apr 6, 2026CLE 55%KC 4–2
- KC at CLEThu, Mar 19, 2026CLE 55%CLE 5–6
- CLE at KCMon, Mar 9, 2026KC 56%CLE 6–2
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
58%
7 of 12 decided games
Meetings graded
12
2026
Correct calls
7
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Cleveland Guardians
No recent factors yet.
Kansas City Royals
- Home Field Advantage — Royals are 32-38 at home this season; Guardians are 38-32 on the road
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