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Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Guardians logo
Guardians
Cleveland
6
vs
Royals logo
Royals
Kansas City
5
CLE 55%45% KC
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueGoodyear Ballpark
Goodyear, Arizona

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Royals (away)
Guardians (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Guardians defeated the Royals 6-5.

Our model predicted the Guardians would win with 55% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Guardians and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Offensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No offensive stats available for comparison
  • Defensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No defensive stats available for comparison

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Guardians won 6-5

Guardians won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Guardians at 55%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

KC
CLE
Home Field Advantage
Favours KC|Favours CLE

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

2 factors not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/19/2026, 8:45:01 AM

Key Players

Royals

Seth LugoSP
Noah CameronSP
Michael WachaSP
Stephen KolekSP
Elias DiazC

Guardians

Gavin WilliamsSP
Joey CantilloSP
Tanner BibeeSP
Parker MessickSP
Slade CecconiSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Guardians has a 55% win probability, while Royals has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Goodyear Ballpark in Goodyear, Arizona.

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