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Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Royals logo
Royals
Kansas City
5
vs
Guardians logo
Guardians
Cleveland
8
KC 55%45% CLE
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueKauffman Stadium
Kansas City, Missouri

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Guardians (away)
Royals (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Guardians defeated the Royals 8-5.

Our model predicted the Royals would win with 55% confidence, but the Guardians pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Royals and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Head to Head was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent head-to-head history available
  • Recent Form was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent form data available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Guardians won 5-8

Guardians won in a close game

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Royals at 55%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

CLE
KC
Home Field Advantage
Favours CLE|Favours KC

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 5/7/2026, 8:45:00 AM

Key Players

Guardians

Gavin WilliamsSP
Joey CantilloSP
Tanner BibeeSP
Parker MessickSP
Slade CecconiSP

Royals

Seth LugoSP
Noah CameronSP
Michael WachaSP
Stephen KolekSP
Elias DiazC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Royals has a 55% win probability, while Guardians has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri.

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