Atlanta Braves at New York Yankees
New York Yankees 56% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Yankees:
- Home Field Advantage. Yankees are 0-0 at home this season
- Defensive Efficiency. Yankees pitching/defense (3.7 RA/G) better than Braves (3.8 RA/G)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Yankees defeated the Braves 3-2.
Our model predicted the Yankees would win with 56% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Yankees and was a notable factor: Yankees are 0-0 at home this season
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Yankees and was a contributing factor: Yankees pitching/defense (3.7 RA/G) better than Braves (3.8 RA/G)
- ELO Rating favored the Braves and was a contributing factor: Yankees ELO 1522 vs Braves ELO 1553 (diff: -31)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Yankees won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors New York Yankees
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors New York Yankees
- ELO RatingFavors Atlanta Braves
- Recent FormNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Braves
Yankees
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Yankees has a 56% win probability, while Braves has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York.