MLB2026 season
Philadelphia Phillies vs Toronto Blue Jays
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Fri, Aug 7, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
25%
1 of 4 decided games
Meetings graded
4
2026
Correct calls
1
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Philadelphia Phillies
- Injuries — Phillies healthier: 5 out, 0 doubtful vs Braves 10 out, 0 doubtful
Toronto Blue Jays
- Defensive Efficiency — Blue Jays pitching/defense (4.3 RA/G) better than Reds (5.1 RA/G)
- Home Field Advantage — Blue Jays are 36-34 at home this season; Reds are 33-40 on the road
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