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Toronto Blue Jays at Philadelphia Phillies

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Phillies logo
Phillies
Philadelphia
8
vs
Blue Jays logo
Blue Jays
Toronto
5
PHI 58%42% TOR
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueBayCare Ballpark
Clearwater, Florida

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Blue Jays (away)
Phillies (home)
42%
Win probability
58%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Phillies defeated the Blue Jays 8-5.

Our model predicted the Phillies would win with 58% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Key Players

Blue Jays

Kevin GausmanSP
Trey YesavageSP
Tanner AndrewsSP
Simeon Woods RichardsonSP
Hayden JuengerSP

Phillies

Zack WheelerSP
Cristopher SanchezSP
Jesus LuzardoSP
Andrew PainterSP
Aaron NolaSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Phillies has a 58% win probability, while Blue Jays has a 42% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at BayCare Ballpark in Clearwater, Florida.

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