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Athletics Athletics at Boston Red Sox

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Red Sox logo
Red Sox
Boston
13
vs
Athletics logo
Athletics
Athletics
1
BOS 60%40% OAK
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Boston Red Sox 60% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Red Sox:

  • ELO Rating. Red Sox ELO 1563 vs Oakland Athletics ELO 1390 (diff: +173)
  • Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

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VenueFenway Park
Boston, Massachusetts

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Athletics (away)
Red Sox (home)
40%
Win probability
60%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Red Sox defeated the Oakland Athletics 13-1.

Our model predicted the Red Sox would win with 60% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • ELO Rating favored the Red Sox and was a notable factor: Red Sox ELO 1563 vs Oakland Athletics ELO 1390 (diff: +173)
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Red Sox and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Offensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No offensive stats available for comparison

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Red Sox won 13-1

Red Sox won comfortably

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Red Sox at 60%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • ELO RatingFavors Boston Red Sox
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Boston Red Sox
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
  • Recent FormNeutral
  • Rest DaysNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

OAK
BOS
ELO Rating
Home Field Advantage
Favours OAK|Favours BOS

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 9/24/2026, 8:45:03 AM

Key Players

Athletics

Gage JumpSP
Luis SeverinoSP
J.T. GinnSP
Jeffrey SpringsSP
Kade MorrisSP

Red Sox

Brayan BelloSP
Connelly EarlySP
Jake BennettSP
Sonny GraySP
Tanner HouckSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Red Sox has a 60% win probability, while Athletics has a 40% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts.

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