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Athletics Athletics at Cincinnati Reds

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Reds logo
Reds
Cincinnati
6
vs
Athletics logo
Athletics
Athletics
5
CIN 57%43% OAK
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Cincinnati Reds 57% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Reds:

  • Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • ELO Rating. Reds ELO 1470 vs Oakland Athletics ELO 1390 (diff: +80)

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VenueGreat American Ball Park
Cincinnati, Ohio

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Athletics (away)
Reds (home)
43%
Win probability
57%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Reds defeated the Oakland Athletics 6-5.

Our model predicted the Reds would win with 57% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Reds and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • ELO Rating favored the Reds and was a contributing factor: Reds ELO 1470 vs Oakland Athletics ELO 1390 (diff: +80)
  • Head to Head was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent head-to-head history available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Reds won 6-5

Reds won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Reds at 57%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Cincinnati Reds
  • ELO RatingFavors Cincinnati Reds
  • Head to HeadNeutral
  • InjuriesNeutral
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

OAK
CIN
Home Field Advantage
ELO Rating
Favours OAK|Favours CIN

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 9/24/2026, 8:45:02 AM

Key Players

Athletics

Gage JumpSP
Luis SeverinoSP
J.T. GinnSP
Jeffrey SpringsSP
Kade MorrisSP

Reds

Brandon WilliamsonSP
Rhett LowderSP
Brady SingerSP
Carson SpiersSP
Chase BurnsSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Reds has a 57% win probability, while Athletics has a 43% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio.

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