MLB2026 season
Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Thu, Sep 17, 2026
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
7
vs
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
4
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- MIL at PITThu, Sep 17, 2026—PIT 4–7
- MIL at PITWed, Sep 16, 2026—MIL 5–4
- PIT at MILThu, Aug 6, 2026MIL 56%MIL 2–5
- PIT at MILWed, Aug 5, 2026MIL 56%MIL 2–4
- PIT at MILTue, Aug 4, 2026MIL 56%MIL 2–4
- PIT at MILMon, Aug 3, 2026MIL 56%PIT 4–3
- MIL at PITSun, Jul 12, 2026PIT 54%PIT 5–14
- MIL at PITSat, Jul 11, 2026PIT 54%PIT 2–3
- MIL at PITSat, Jul 11, 2026PIT 54%PIT 6–7
- PIT at MILSun, Apr 26, 2026MIL 55%MIL 0–5
- PIT at MILSat, Apr 25, 2026MIL 55%PIT 6–3
- PIT at MILFri, Apr 24, 2026MIL 62%PIT 6–0
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
70%
7 of 10 decided games
Meetings graded
10
2026
Correct calls
7
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Milwaukee Brewers
- Injuries — Brewers healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Rays 6 out, 0 doubtful
- Offensive Efficiency — Brewers offense (5.1 R/G) outpaces Rays (4.5 R/G)
- Home Field Advantage — Brewers are 54-26 at home this season; Rays are 36-42 on the road
Pittsburgh Pirates
- Injuries — Pirates healthier (5 out, 0 doubtful) vs Tigers (13 out, 0 doubtful)
- Offensive Efficiency — Pirates offense (4.7 R/G) outpaces Tigers (4.5 R/G)
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