PlayDecoded
Menu
MLB2026 season

Cleveland Guardians vs New York Mets

Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Most recent meeting

Thu, Aug 6, 2026

Guardians logo
CLE
Cleveland Guardians
6
vs
Mets logo
NYM
New York Mets
13
CLE 55%45% NYM
Open the game page

This season

2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate
0%
0 of 3 decided games
Meetings graded
3
2026
Correct calls
0
Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.

Cleveland Guardians

No recent factors yet.

New York Mets
  • Defensive Efficiency — Mets pitching/defense (4.5 RA/G) better than Nationals (5.0 RA/G)

Get the weekly model report card

Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.