MLB2026 season
Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Sun, Sep 27, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- ATL at MIASun, Sep 27, 2026MIA 48%MIA 3–5
- ATL at MIASat, Sep 26, 2026MIA 50%ATL 8–3
- ATL at MIAFri, Sep 25, 2026MIA 60%MIA 0–3
- MIA at ATLThu, Aug 6, 2026ATL 55%ATL 3–11
- MIA at ATLWed, Aug 5, 2026ATL 55%ATL 1–4
- MIA at ATLTue, Aug 4, 2026ATL 55%ATL 2–4
- ATL at MIAThu, May 21, 2026MIA 55%ATL 9–3
- ATL at MIAWed, May 20, 2026MIA 55%ATL 9–1
- ATL at MIATue, May 19, 2026MIA 55%ATL 8–4
- ATL at MIAMon, May 18, 2026MIA 55%MIA 0–12
- MIA at ATLWed, Apr 15, 2026ATL 55%ATL 3–6
- MIA at ATLTue, Apr 14, 2026ATL 55%ATL 5–6
- MIA at ATLMon, Apr 13, 2026ATL 48%MIA 10–4
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
69%
9 of 13 decided games
Meetings graded
13
2026
Correct calls
9
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Atlanta Braves
- Home Field Advantage — Braves are 50-24 at home this season; Dodgers are 45-26 on the road
Miami Marlins
- Injuries — Marlins healthier (10 out, 0 doubtful) vs Braves (10 out, 0 doubtful)
- Home Field Advantage — Marlins are 38-28 at home this season; Braves are 39-33 on the road
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