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Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Marlins logo
Marlins
Miami
1
vs
Braves logo
Braves
Atlanta
9
MIA 55%45% ATL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueloanDepot park
Miami, Florida

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Braves (away)
Marlins (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Braves defeated the Marlins 9-1.

Our model predicted the Marlins would win with 55% confidence, but the Braves pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Marlins and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Offensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No offensive stats available for comparison
  • Head to Head was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent head-to-head history available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Braves won 1-9

Braves won comfortably

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Marlins at 55%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

ATL
MIA
Home Field Advantage
Favours ATL|Favours MIA

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 5/20/2026, 8:45:00 AM

Key Players

Braves

Chris SaleSP
Spencer StriderSP
Bryce ElderSP
Grant HolmesSP
Martin PerezSP

Marlins

Janson JunkSP
Sandy AlcantaraSP
Eury PerezSP
Max MeyerSP
Joe MackC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Marlins has a 55% win probability, while Braves has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida.

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