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Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees

MLBregular โ€ข 2026-2027 Season
completed
Yankees logo
Yankees
New York
9
vs
Rays logo
Rays
Tampa Bay
2
NYY 54%46% TB
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

New York Yankees 54% to win. The biggest signal favoring Yankees:

  • Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

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VenueYankee Stadium
Bronx, New York

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Rays (away)
Yankees (home)
46%
Win probability
54%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Yankees defeated the Rays 9-2.

Our model predicted the Yankees would win with 54% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Yankees and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Head to Head was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent head-to-head history available
  • Recent Form was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent form data available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Yankees won 9-2

Yankees won comfortably

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Yankees at 54%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors New York Yankees
  • Head to HeadNeutral
  • Recent FormNeutral
  • Weather ImpactNeutral
  • ELO RatingFavors Tampa Bay Rays
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

TB
NYY
Home Field Advantage
Favours TB|Favours NYY

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 โ€ข Calculated: 9/23/2026, 10:45:04 PM

Key Players

Rays

No player data available

Yankees

Will WarrenSP
Ryan WeathersSP
Carlos RodonSP
Gerrit ColeSP
Cam SchlittlerSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Yankees has a 54% win probability, while Rays has a 46% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York.

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