Week 5
Scheduled
Packers
Green Bay
55%
Slight Lean
vs
Bears
Chicago
45%
GB vs CHIbreakdown →
NFLNFC • North
Green Bay Packers
NFC Conference • North Division
Record
2-2
Division
North
Conference
NFC
Upcoming
2 games
Next Game Prediction
vs Chicago Bears • Sun, Oct 11 5:00 PM
55%
win probability
Model accuracy on Green Bay Packers: 50% (2 games)
Team Analytics
Elo Rating History
Green Bay Packers - 2026 Season
153015231516
Current Elo
1529
Season Change
+11
Season High
1529
Season Low
1518
Avg Change
-5.7
Games
1
Model vs. Market History
Green Bay Packers - 2026 Season
Avg Edge
-11%
Model Edge Record
0-1
Model Edge Win %
0%
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Model | Market | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | Bears | H | 55% | 43% | +12%★ | Scheduled |
| Oct 4 | Buccaneers | A | 59% | 93% | -34% | WIN✓ |
| Sep 25 | Falcons | H | 76% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
Model divergence: our model gives this team >5% more probability than the market implies
Upcoming Games
View all Packersupcoming games →
Recent Games
View all Packersrecent games →
Frequently Asked Questions
The Green Bay Packers play in the NFC conference, North division.
The Packers play their home games in Green Bay.
We analyze Packers games using multiple factors including weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, injury reports, and historical performance to calculate win probabilities.
How We Analyze NFL Games
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Guide
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
4 min readRead article
Deep Dive
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
3 min readRead article
Deep Dive
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
3 min readRead article