Week 5
Scheduled
Packers
Green Bay
55%
Slight Lean
vs
Bears
Chicago
45%
GB vs CHIbreakdown →
NFLNFC • North
Chicago Bears
NFC Conference • North Division
Record
3-1
Division
North
Conference
NFC
Upcoming
2 games
Next Game Prediction
at Green Bay Packers • Sun, Oct 11 5:00 PM
45%
win probability
Model accuracy on Chicago Bears: 0% (2 games)
Team Analytics
Elo Rating History
Chicago Bears - 2026 Season
155315411529
Current Elo
1531
Season Change
-20
Season High
1551
Season Low
1531
Avg Change
+3.5
Games
1
Model vs. Market History
Chicago Bears - 2026 Season
Avg Edge
-13%
Model Edge Record
1-0
Model Edge Win %
100%
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Model | Market | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | Packers | A | 45% | 57% | -12% | Scheduled |
| Oct 4 | Jets | H | 42% | 80% | -39% | WIN✗ |
| Sep 29 | Eagles | H | 48% | 36% | +12%★ | WIN✗ |
Model divergence: our model gives this team >5% more probability than the market implies
Upcoming Games
View all Bearsupcoming games →
Recent Games
View all Bearsrecent games →
Frequently Asked Questions
The Chicago Bears play in the NFC conference, North division.
The Bears play their home games in Chicago.
We analyze Bears games using multiple factors including weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, injury reports, and historical performance to calculate win probabilities.
How We Analyze NFL Games
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Guide
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
4 min readRead article
Deep Dive
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
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Deep Dive
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
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