Chicago Bears at Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks 61% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Seahawks:
- ELO Rating. Seahawks ELO 1661 vs Bears ELO 1531 (diff: +130)
- Home Field Advantage. Seahawks are 2-1 at home this season; Bears are 1-1 on the road
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Bears at Seahawks
The Bears visit the Seahawks at Lumen Field in Seattle, WA in NFL regular season Week 8 action.
Our model gives the Seahawks a 61% chance of winning, giving them a clear but not overwhelming advantage. The Bears will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Seahawks (medium): Seahawks ELO 1661 vs Bears ELO 1531 (diff: +130)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Seahawks (medium): Seahawks are 2-1 at home this season; Bears are 1-1 on the road
- Injuries is neutral: Similar injury situations: Seahawks (0 out) vs Bears (0 out)
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Seattle Seahawks
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Seattle Seahawks
- InjuriesNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
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Other
Medium impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Bears
Seahawks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Seahawks has a 61% win probability, while Bears has a 39% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Lumen Field in Seattle, WA.