PlayDecoded
Menu

Las Vegas Raiders at New York Jets

NFLWeek 8 • regular • 2026
Scheduled
Jets logo
Jets
New York
0
vs
Raiders logo
Raiders
Las Vegas
0
NYJ 54%46% LV
Prediction Confidence:
High

New York Jets 54% to win. The biggest signal favoring Jets:

  • Home Field Advantage. Jets are 1-1 at home this season; Raiders are 2-1 on the road

Make Your Prediction

Sign in to make predictions

View leaderboard to see rankings

VenueMetLife Stadium
East Rutherford, NJ

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Raiders (away)
Jets (home)
46%
Win probability
54%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Game Preview

Raiders at Jets

The Raiders visit the Jets at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ in NFL regular season Week 8 action.

Our model gives the Jets a 54% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. The Raiders will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Home Field Advantage favors the Jets (low): Jets are 1-1 at home this season; Raiders are 2-1 on the road
  • ELO Rating is neutral: Jets ELO 1403 vs Raiders ELO 1415 (diff: -12)
  • Defensive Efficiency is neutral: Defensive efficiency stats not yet available
Jets54%

has a slight edge to win

Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors NYJ

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors New York Jets
  • ELO RatingNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
  • InjuriesNeutral
  • Weather ImpactNeutral
Sign in to see factor scores, charts, and what-if simulations

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

LV
NYJ
Home Field Advantage
ELO Rating
Favours LV|Favours NYJ

Premium feature: factor breakdown

Start 14-day free trial →

Understanding the win probability calculation

3 factors not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/17/2026, 8:00:01 AM

Key Players

Raiders

Fernando MendozaQB
Jacob ClarkQB
Aidan O'ConnellQB
Kirk CousinsQB
Cody WhiteWR

Jets

No player data available

Frequently Asked Questions

Jets has a 54% win probability, while Raiders has a 46% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ.

View all NFL games