Miami Dolphins at New York Jets
New York Jets 54% to win. The biggest signal favoring Jets:
- Home Field Advantage. Jets are 0-1 at home this season; Dolphins are 0-3 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Dolphins at Jets
The Dolphins visit the Jets at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ in NFL regular season Week 7 action.
Our model gives the Jets a 54% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. The Dolphins will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Jets (low): Jets are 0-1 at home this season; Dolphins are 0-3 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- ELO Rating is neutral: Jets ELO 1403 vs Dolphins ELO 1408 (diff: -5)
- Defensive Efficiency is neutral: Defensive efficiency stats not yet available
has a slight edge to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors New York Jets
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Dolphins
Jets
No player data available
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Jets has a 54% win probability, while Dolphins has a 46% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ.