Cincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins
Cincinnati Bengals 52% to win. The biggest signal favoring Bengals:
- ELO Rating. Dolphins ELO 1408 vs Bengals ELO 1527 (diff: -119)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Bengals at Dolphins
The Bengals visit the Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL in NFL regular season Week 5 action.
Our model gives the Bengals a 52% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. The Dolphins will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Bengals (low): Dolphins ELO 1408 vs Bengals ELO 1527 (diff: -119)
- Home Field Advantage is neutral: Dolphins are 0-1 at home this season; Bengals are 1-1 on the road
- Defensive Efficiency is neutral: Defensive efficiency stats not yet available
has a slight edge to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Cincinnati Bengals
- Home Field AdvantageNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Dolphins
Bengals
Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Bengals
Dolphins
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Dolphins has a 48% win probability, while Bengals has a 52% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL.