Cincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins
Cincinnati Bengals 56% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Bengals:
- ELO Rating. Dolphins ELO 1408 vs Bengals ELO 1527 (diff: -119)
- Injuries. Bengals healthier: 7 out, 0 doubtful vs Dolphins 8 out, 0 doubtful
- Rest Days. Bengals has rest advantage (7 days) over Dolphins (6 days)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Bengals defeated the Dolphins 31-24.
Our model predicted the Bengals would win with 56% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- ELO Rating favored the Bengals and was a contributing factor: Dolphins ELO 1408 vs Bengals ELO 1527 (diff: -119)
- Injuries favored the Bengals and was a contributing factor: Bengals healthier: 7 out, 0 doubtful vs Dolphins 8 out, 0 doubtful
- Rest Days favored the Bengals and was a contributing factor: Bengals has rest advantage (7 days) over Dolphins (6 days)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Dolphins have 8 player(s) ruled out, while the Bengals have 7.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Bengals won comfortably
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Cincinnati Bengals
- InjuriesFavors Cincinnati Bengals
- Rest DaysFavors Cincinnati Bengals
- Home Field AdvantageNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Dolphins
Bengals
Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Injury Report
Dolphins
Bengals
Key Players
Bengals
Dolphins
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Dolphins has a 44% win probability, while Bengals has a 56% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL.