NFL2026 season
Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots
Head-to-head win probability for NFL. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
100%
1 of 1 decided games
Meetings graded
1
2026
Correct calls
1
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Las Vegas Raiders
- Injuries — Raiders healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Jets 3 out, 0 doubtful
- Rest Days — Raiders has rest advantage (13 days) over Jets (14 days)
New England Patriots
- ELO Rating — Dolphins ELO 1408 vs Patriots ELO 1585 (diff: -177)
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