Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys 59% to win. The biggest signal favoring Cowboys:
- Home Field Advantage. Cowboys are 1-1 at home this season; Buccaneers are 0-1 on the road
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Buccaneers at Cowboys
The Buccaneers visit the Cowboys at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX in NFL regular season Week 5 action.
Our model gives the Cowboys a 59% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. The Buccaneers will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Cowboys (medium): Cowboys are 1-1 at home this season; Buccaneers are 0-1 on the road
- ELO Rating is neutral: Cowboys ELO 1460 vs Buccaneers ELO 1442 (diff: +17)
- Injuries is neutral: Similar injury situations: Cowboys (0 out) vs Buccaneers (0 out)
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Dallas Cowboys
- ELO RatingNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Cowboys
Buccaneers
Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
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Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Buccaneers
Cowboys
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Cowboys has a 59% win probability, while Buccaneers has a 41% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX.