Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys 60% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Cowboys:
- Home Field Advantage. Cowboys are 1-1 at home this season; Buccaneers are 0-1 on the road
- Injuries. Cowboys less affected by injuries: 3 out, 3 doubtful vs Buccaneers 2 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Buccaneers players matter more
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Buccaneers at Cowboys
The Buccaneers visit the Cowboys at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX in NFL regular season Week 5 action.
Our model gives the Cowboys a 60% chance of winning, giving them a clear but not overwhelming advantage. The Buccaneers will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Cowboys (medium): Cowboys are 1-1 at home this season; Buccaneers are 0-1 on the road
- Injuries favors the Cowboys (low): Cowboys less affected by injuries: 3 out, 3 doubtful vs Buccaneers 2 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Buccaneers play...
- ELO Rating is neutral: Cowboys ELO 1460 vs Buccaneers ELO 1442 (diff: +17)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Cowboys have 3 player(s) ruled out, while the Buccaneers have 2.
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Dallas Cowboys
- InjuriesFavors Dallas Cowboys
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Cowboys
Buccaneers
Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Injury Report
Cowboys
Buccaneers
Key Players
Buccaneers
Cowboys
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Cowboys has a 60% win probability, while Buccaneers has a 40% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX.