Tennessee Titans at Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys vs Tennessee Titans head-to-head
Dallas Cowboys 60% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Cowboys:
- ELO Rating. Cowboys ELO 1460 vs Titans ELO 1318 (diff: +142)
- Home Field Advantage. Cowboys are 1-2 at home this season; Titans are 1-2 on the road
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the rating edge were neutral: DAL 55% (−5)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: DAL 57% (−3)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Titans at Cowboys
The Titans visit the Cowboys at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX in NFL regular season Week 11 action.
Our model gives the Cowboys a 60% chance of winning, giving them a clear but not overwhelming advantage. For the Titans to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Cowboys (medium): Cowboys ELO 1460 vs Titans ELO 1318 (diff: +142)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Cowboys (medium): Cowboys are 1-2 at home this season; Titans are 1-2 on the road
- Head to Head is neutral: No recent head-to-head history available
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Dallas Cowboys
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Dallas Cowboys
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Get the weekly model report card
Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.
Key Players
Titans
Cowboys
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Dallas Cowboys
- Previous game51%DAL win probability
- Next game50%PHI win probability
Tennessee Titans
- Previous game54%IND win probability
- Next game65%JAX win probability
Other Week 11 games
- 57%HOU win probability
- 51%NYG win probability
- 62%DET win probability
- 62%KC win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Cowboys has a 60% win probability, while Titans has a 40% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX.

