Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans head-to-head
Jacksonville Jaguars 65% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Jaguars:
- ELO Rating. Jaguars ELO 1568 vs Titans ELO 1318 (diff: +250)
- Home Field Advantage. Jaguars are 3-1 at home this season; Titans are 1-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the rating edge were neutral: JAX 56% (−9)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: JAX 61% (−4)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Titans at Jaguars
The Titans visit the Jaguars at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, FL in NFL regular season Week 12 action.
Our model gives the Jaguars a 65% chance of winning, giving them a clear but not overwhelming advantage. For the Titans to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Jaguars (high): Jaguars ELO 1568 vs Titans ELO 1318 (diff: +250)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Jaguars (medium): Jaguars are 3-1 at home this season; Titans are 1-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Turnover Differential is neutral: Jaguars turnover differential (+0) vs Titans (+0)
is strongly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Jacksonville Jaguars
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Jacksonville Jaguars
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
ELO Rating
Jaguars ELO 1568 vs Titans ELO 1318 (diff: +250)
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Titans
Jaguars
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Jacksonville Jaguars
- Previous game62%JAX win probability
- Next game55%CHI win probability
Tennessee Titans
- Previous game54%IND win probability
- Next game51%TEN win probability
Other Week 12 games
- 54%LAR win probability
- 57%DET win probability
- 50%PHI win probability
- 57%BUF win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Jaguars has a 65% win probability, while Titans has a 35% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, FL.