Washington Commanders at Tennessee Titans
Tennessee Titans vs Washington Commanders head-to-head
Tennessee Titans 51% to win. The biggest signal favoring Titans:
- Home Field Advantage. Titans are 0-3 at home this season; Commanders are 0-3 on the road
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the rating edge were neutral: TEN 55% (+4)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: TEN 48% (−3)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Commanders at Titans
The Commanders visit the Titans at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, TN in NFL regular season Week 13 action.
Our model gives the Titans a 51% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Commanders to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Commanders (low): Titans ELO 1318 vs Commanders ELO 1424 (diff: -106)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Titans (medium): Titans are 0-3 at home this season; Commanders are 0-3 on the road
- Turnover Differential is neutral: Titans turnover differential (+0) vs Commanders (+0)
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Washington Commanders
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Tennessee Titans
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
3 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Commanders
Titans
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this week. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Tennessee Titans
- Previous game54%IND win probability
- Next game67%DET win probability
Washington Commanders
- Previous game58%SF win probability
- Next game50%HOU win probability
Other Week 13 games
- 52%LAR win probability
- 52%CLE win probability
- 51%DET win probability
- 54%TB win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Titans has a 51% win probability, while Commanders has a 49% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, TN.